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Old Jun 30th, 2003, 03:48 PM   #1 (permalink)
Rama
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Calif. Near Financial Disaster

Calif. Near Financial Disaster
Hours Remain to Solve $38 Billion Shortfall

California state Sens. James L. Brulte (R), left, and John Burton (D) confront each other after the Senate's defeat of a Democratic budget bill last week. (Rich Pedroncelli -- AP)




By Rene Sanchez
Washington Post Staff Writer
Monday, June 30, 2003; Page A01


LOS ANGELES -- Any day now, community colleges here may begin telling faculty members that they cannot be paid and students that summer classes are canceled.

Nursing homes are losing so much state aid that many soon may have to shut down or limit their services, a prospect that has elderly residents confused and frightened.

As many as 30,000 government workers who had been expecting pay raises in the fall are instead receiving formal notices warning that they could lose their jobs by then, because the state is broke.

This is life in California, on the brink of a fiscal disaster.

The nation's most populous state, home to one of the world's largest economies, has been staring in disbelief at the same dire predicament for months: a $38 billion deficit, the largest shortfall in its history and an extreme example of the budget woes afflicting many states. But now it has only hours left to solve the problem.

State lawmakers have until midnight to reach a compromise with Gov. Gray Davis (D) on a budget that would wipe out the enormous deficit, but the odds of that happening appear slim. And without a deal, the state will be bound by law to begin cutting off billions of dollars in payments to its agencies and its contractors in July -- and could run out of money by August.

"It looks bleak," said Perry Kenny, president of the California State Employees Association, which represents more than 100,000 government workers. "This is the biggest hole we've ever been in, and no one can seem to find a way out. We're all sweating bullets here."

For weeks, the state's budget has been hostage to an intensely partisan political war over taxes and spending that is now getting even more bitter and complicated because of a Republican-led campaign to recall Davis from office. Organizers of that movement have collected nearly 400,000 voter petitions in favor of ousting the governor, and political strategists in both parties say a recall election, which would be unprecedented, is looking ever more likely.

Davis and the Democrats who control both houses of California's legislature cannot get their way on the budget because state law requires a two-thirds majority vote for it to be approved. They need a few Republican lawmakers to support their plan, which they say must include new taxes in order to save public schools and other vital programs from ruin.

But Republicans are refusing to consider any tax increase, which they say would harm California's already weak economy, and are demanding deeper cuts in government spending.

There is no end in sight to the impasse, which California voters are watching with increasing exasperation. Polls show that public support for Davis has plummeted below 25 percent, and that two-thirds of voters are dismayed with the legislature.

Republican lawmakers say they will not budge from their stand on the budget because they are fed up with Davis's governing style.

"He and his allies have gotten the last three budgets they wanted and we're nearly bankrupt," said James L. Brulte, the Republican leader in the state Senate, who has threatened to work against the reelection of any GOP colleague who sides with Davis in the budget battle. "Somebody has to stand up and say enough is enough. That's what Republicans in California are doing."

But Democrats see other motives. Some are accusing GOP lawmakers of deliberately dragging their feet on the budget in the hope that will hurt Davis politically and strengthen the recall campaign.

"It's hard to take Republicans seriously when they say they want a real solution to this budget crisis at the same time some of them are openly backing the recall," said Roger Salazar, a political adviser to Davis. "They are putting important state programs at risk just out of pure political spite."

Democrats have retreated recently from some tax proposals but are insisting on a half-cent sales tax increase. Several dozen Democratic legislators even barnstormed Republican districts around the state last week to plead for support but got mostly hostile receptions.

Davis, who left the state this weekend to attend his mother's 80th birthday celebration in New York, is still expressing optimism that a budget deal can be reached soon, if not by tonight's constitutional deadline.

"I am doing everything I can to encourage, cajole, persuade, guilt-trip and all the things you do to try to make this happen," he told reporters last week.

California's $38 billion deficit is larger than the entire annual budget of any other state except New York. It represents about one-third of the state's annual spending.

As in many other states, the shortfall is largely the result of the national economic downturn -- which has been especially severe in Silicon Valley, an engine of California's $1.3 trillion economy. Soaring health care costs for the poor and new expenses for homeland security are other contributing factors. Republicans here also contend that Davis, who was narrowly elected to a second term in November, has spent recklessly while in office and relied on accounting gimmicks to balance the budget last year.

California, which had a $9 billion budget surplus three years ago, is constantly caught in boom-or-bust economic cycles. In the early 1990s, Republican Gov. Pete Wilson had to raise taxes and cut spending to erase a $14 billion deficit. Escaping this crisis will be far more difficult and painful.

To close the $38 billion deficit, state leaders have approved $7 billion in cuts affecting virtually every government program. They have borrowed $11 billion to keep California solvent through the summer. Earlier this month, risking the wrath of voters, they tripled the annual state tax on vehicles, a $136 increase for most motorists. But that still is not enough to balance the budget.

Now, with time to find a solution running out, state Controller Steve Westly is warning that as early as Tuesday more than a billion dollars in payments due to state agencies, medical providers and private companies that contract with California must be stopped.

"This is going to be real hurt for the state of California," he told reporters a few days ago, "and the problem gets worse every day we go without a budget."

Some public institutions already are reeling. The Los Angeles Community College District, which enrolls 130,000 students, has been forced to eliminate classes and lay off some of its faculty, and is on the verge of raising tuition by more than 50 percent because of the budget crisis. Thousands of students have dropped out because of cutbacks this year, college officials say, and more are likely to leave if additional classes are canceled.

Mark Drummond, the chancellor of the district, said that its network of colleges has enough money to operate until August, but would not be able to pay its vendors or its faculty if the state is still engulfed in deficits by then.

"We could have to turn off the lights and tell everybody to go home," Drummond said.

Nursing homes are suffering the same plight. Some already have stopped receiving all the payments they had been expecting from the state and are cutting back services to their residents and turning away new patients. If more cuts are approved, or if the budget gridlock doesn't end soon, dozens of homes could go bankrupt and close.

Betsy Hite, spokeswoman for the California Association of Health Facilities, said many elderly residents are baffled and despondent over the looming hardships.

"They see what's going on in the newspapers and on TV," she said. "Their perspective is, why are they doing this to us? What did we do?

"If I were a betting person, I wouldn't bet we're going to be fine," Hite added. "The gap is just too huge."



What do all think about this? Especially those of you living here in CA
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Old Jun 30th, 2003, 04:56 PM   #2 (permalink)
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this effects me tremendously, summer sessions were cut in my school to only the second session as opposed to having two seperate summer sessions which sucks cause now it will take me just a little longer to transfer and again i work for the los angeles unified school district and many more after school programs are getting shut down so ya it sux........
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Old Jun 30th, 2003, 05:20 PM   #3 (permalink)
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I think it sucks! and now vehicle registration fees will be tripling because of the budgets. they are saying people will be paying the avarage of $180 more then usual.
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Old Jun 30th, 2003, 05:52 PM   #4 (permalink)
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Well,
Maybe they should fire the Carb board...

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Old Jun 30th, 2003, 06:07 PM   #5 (permalink)
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The sad thing is, if all those celebrities that live in CA would just donate a week's pay to the state, the crisis would be taken care of....
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Old Jun 30th, 2003, 06:17 PM   #6 (permalink)
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This sounds bad. Me and my family were thinking of moving to Cali after im done with high school.
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Old Jun 30th, 2003, 06:49 PM   #7 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally posted by Wagon Wagon
The sad thing is, if all those celebrities that live in CA would just donate a week's pay to the state, the crisis would be taken care of....
Hell no, we don't need donations or taxes!!! If they would not cut back on some of the stupid ass programs around here they would be fine! Stupid davis and his cronies spent WAAAAAYYY more than the state made in income... that's just plain and simple... he says he raised spending in this and that area but all he does is throw the money in stupid programs! ie, my wife is a teacher and couple years ago they had a program where if the whole school improves such and such in reading amount each staff member recieves a $5k bonus!! course that opens the door for deceptive behavior and by the end of the first year there was NO money left to give out... and Davis gets to tell everyone how he raised education spending... yeah... okay, tell me how that really benefited anyone???

I also agree with dismembering the CARB... they make rules to keep their own job! What sense is that? They suck up so much money just so they can make more laws to get money... IF THE SNIFFER SAYS IT'S CLEAN WHAT DOES IT MATTER HOW ITS MADE!?!?!?!?!?!?!??!?!?!?!
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Old Jun 30th, 2003, 07:50 PM   #8 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally posted by James
IF THE SNIFFER SAYS IT'S CLEAN WHAT DOES IT MATTER HOW ITS MADE!?!?!?!?!?!?!??!?!?!?!
Hmh, good point... but then they'd have to check ALL the cars. Don't they have independent certification of non-CARB parts?

anyway, it sucks about that state budget, I have heard of a lot of people from here getting laid off in Cali., and coming home to the Philippines.... you know how it is, the moment money gets tight, it's the immigrants who are first to go. (this was one or two months ago).

Good thing the economy over here can't get any worse... otherwise they'd be deporting me back to the US...
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Old Jun 30th, 2003, 08:54 PM   #9 (permalink)
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someone tell me how you determine what a weeks pay is to someone who gets paid by the job? Now I have to agree with James we don't need donations because honestly nothing comes for free. let's say someone did "bail" cali out you better damn believe it will come with a price and you just don't want that. As far cutting back on programs we need to do that nationwide even. We need to streamline some programs and eliminate others. Do you guys realize that whenever a committee or agency or dept. is created in gov't is it rarely practically almost never goes away. There are some that have fell by the wayside but they get replaced by something else. But here is something that I don't get and this is a nationwide issue. Is why do we have the Dept of Homeland Security? We have two intelligence agencies already FBI and CIA if they failed us then fix those agencies don't create another one. You need homeland defense we have the National Guard. More people will die from car accidents than terrorists acts so I really don't feel any safer. I am more likely to get killed in a violent crime then some terrorist attack. Another thing James and Seth were right with is the CARB seriously if it passes the sniffer which checks the emissions nothing else should matter since that's whole purpose is pass emissions does it pass emissions? Yes. Ok good enough end of story. Also with the money incentive for reading a certain amount, shouldn't it just be part of the curriculum anyways? But if you did do something like cut back on the frivolous spending of other other shit it would be ok to spend in other areas.
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Old Jun 30th, 2003, 09:17 PM   #10 (permalink)
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well... people were upset enough by 9-11 that it was easy for the Hawks to create Homeland Defense... don't know how all this is going to hold up in the long run, especially how Bush no longer has a clear enemy to peg in his sights... not many people are willing to spend unless they see a clear and unambiguous threat to their lifestyle.

trouble is, war usually means a good economic rebound because of increased industry spending... but with these past two so short, i don't see that as likely to happen.

It's going to be a long long recovery.
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Old Jun 30th, 2003, 09:21 PM   #11 (permalink)
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I agree with you there.
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Old Jun 30th, 2003, 09:40 PM   #12 (permalink)
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Originally posted by Lisa
this effects me tremendously, summer sessions were cut in my school to only the second session as opposed to having two seperate summer sessions which sucks cause now it will take me just a little longer to transfer and again i work for the los angeles unified school district and many more after school programs are getting shut down so ya it sux........

Dope SIG Lisa! A girl that likes cars and knows her music, ++


P.S.
Sad news but saw it coming when I heard about the idiot who bankrupted Orange County by putting all their funds in Tech Stocks.
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Old Jul 1st, 2003, 12:44 AM   #13 (permalink)
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Re: Calif. Near Financial Disaster

Quote:
Originally posted by Rama


California's $38 billion deficit is larger than the entire annual budget of any other state except New York. It represents about one-third of the state's annual spending.

Daaamn....I know we're having problems here in NY, but you guys seem to have it worse than us. I feel for you Lisa, because our tuitions are going up next semester, too, but thank goodness they didn't cut out our summer session....I take a class every summer. I know I dont read the paper like I should, but I would have never known about this if I didn't read this thread.
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Old Jul 1st, 2003, 12:45 AM   #14 (permalink)
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time to pack our bags
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Old Jul 1st, 2003, 02:00 AM   #15 (permalink)
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now it make me kinda glad im @ DeVry sorta a accredited private tech school.

i say we release the Terminator on davis and his goonies and let him take care of those money hungry politicians.
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